Suffolk CoronaWatch Bulletin

Suffolk's CoronaWatch is the home of data and information produced under the Suffolk Joint Strategic Needs Assessment (JSNA).

The CoronaWatch Data Dashboard is updated on a daily basis and includes data on:

  • Confirmed cases of coronavirus (COVID-19)
  • Deaths from coronavirus 
  • Google social mobility data 

 A bulletin containing the most recent data for Suffolk is produced weekly. You can view the most recent data bulletin, along with previous bulletins below:

COVID-19 Suffolk Weekly Briefing

1 December 2021

Summary

  • On Monday 19 July 2021, England moved to stage four of the road map out of lockdown, with an end to most restrictions and social distancing requirements.

  • In the week to the 30November 2021 there were 2,988 new cases of COVID-19 in Suffolk. This number has increased compared to the previous week.
  • The underlying rate of new weekly cases in Suffolk has increased since last week and is now at 385.3 cases per 100,000 people. This rate is lower than the rate for the East of England region (471.7/100,000) and the rate for England as a whole (440.3/ 100,000).
  • Data about deaths from ONS is currently delayed. For the last week of data we currently have, up to 12 November 2021, there have been 1,701 deaths in Suffolk where COVID-19 was recorded on the death certificate. There have been 21 COVID-19 related deaths in the most recent week of data.
  • The estimated ‘R’ value for the East of England is between 0.9 - 1.1. Any R value greater than 1 means the epidemic is increasing.

National Alert Levels

As of 19 July 2021, England is set to move to stage four of the road map out of lockdown. National Covid restrictions are set to be lifted, with an end to social distancing requirements, however face coverings will still be recommended in crowded indoor areas.

Weekly cases and rates

In the week to the 30 November 2021 there were 2,988 new cases of COVID-19 in Suffolk. This number has increased compared to the previous week.

It is possible to calculate a case rate by dividing the number of cases by the number of people in a given population – this makes it possible to compare cases across different areas. The most recent underlying weekly case rate in Suffolk was 385.3 cases per 100,000 people. This case rate has increased compared to the previous week. This rate is lower than the rate for the East of England region (471.7/100,000) and the rate for England as a whole (440.3/100,000).

In the last week of reported data up to 30 November 2021 there have been 417 cases in Babergh, 405 cases in Ipswich, 890 cases in East Suffolk, 385 cases in Mid Suffolk and 919 cases in West Suffolk. Case numbers have increased in all areas of Suffolk this week except for Ipswich and East Suffolk.

Total cases and rates

As of the 30 November 2021 there have been 82,818 total cases of COVID-19 in Suffolk, with an overall rate of 10,879.3 cases per 100,000 population.  This is lower than the overall rate for the East of England (14,062.3/100,000) and for England as a whole (15,337.4/100,000).

Regional ‘R’ Number and growth rate

What is the R number? R represents the average number of onward infections that will be generated by a single infectious individual. R tells us if the epidemic is getting bigger (>1) or smaller (<1) but now how large the epidemic is overall, and therefore shouldn’t be used as the sole indicator of the threat posed by an epidemic at any single point in time. R cannot be measured directly, and there is always uncertainty about its exact value.

The current estimated regional ‘R’ numbers are below. Regional estimates are for 15 October 2021 and are the latest regional estimates available before calculations were suspended. This is to allow for a full understanding of the impact of the reported incident of incorrect negative PCR test results on estimates in the South West, South East and London. The England estimate is for 22 October 2021.

(Source: University of Cambridge MRC Biostatics Unit).

Regional R Value as at 26 November 2021

Region

R Value

Growth rate % per day

East of England

0.9 - 1.1

 -2.0 to 1.0

London

0.9 - 1.2

 -1.0 to 2.0

Midlands

0.9 - 1.1

 -2.0 to 1.0

North East and Yorkshire

0.9 - 1.1

 -2.0 to 1.0

North West

0.8 - 1.1

 -3.0 to 0.0

South East

0.9 - 1.2

 -1.0 to 2.0

South West

0.9 - 1.1

 -2.0 to 2.0

England

1.0 - 1.1

 -1.0 to 2.0


Death Registrations to 12 November 2021

There is currently a delay in the data about deaths from ONS, meaning that the latest data we have is up to 12 November 2021. Up to 12 November there have been 1,701 deaths which mention COVID-19 on the death certificate in total and 21 COVID-19 deaths in that week of data. In that week, deaths due to causes other than COVID-19 have occurred at a higher level compared to the five-year average for Suffolk. 

Contact Tracing

In Suffolk in the week up to 29 November 2021, 76.2% of cases were successfully contact traced and, during the pandemic as a whole, 87.6% of cases have been successfully contact traced. These metrics are lower than the East of England rates (80.0% in the last week and 89.3% for the pandemic as a whole) and the England rates (80.3% in the last week and 87.6% for the pandemic as a whole).

For contacts of cases, in the last 7 days to 29 November 2021, 96.7% of contacts in Suffolk have been successfully contact traced, and during the pandemic as a whole, 96.0% of contacts have been successfully contact traced. These numbers are similar to or slightly higher than the East of England (95.7% in the last week and 95.0% for the pandemic as a whole) and England averages (96.1% in the last week and 92.8% for the pandemic as a whole).