Suffolk CoronaWatch Bulletin

Suffolk's CoronaWatch is the home of data and information produced under the Suffolk Joint Strategic Needs Assessment (JSNA).

The CoronaWatch Data Dashboard is updated on a daily basis and includes data on:

  • Confirmed cases of coronavirus (COVID-19)
  • Deaths from coronavirus 
  • Google social mobility data 

 A bulletin containing the most recent data for Suffolk is produced weekly. You can view the most recent data bulletin, along with previous bulletins below:

COVID-19 Suffolk Weekly Briefing

28 July 2021

Summary

  • On Monday 19 July 2021, England moved to stage four of the road map out of lockdown, with an end to most restrictions and social distancing requirements.

  • In the week to 27 July 2021 there were 1,623 new cases of COVID-19 in Suffolk. This number has decreased compared to the previous week.
  • The underlying rate of new weekly cases in Suffolk has increased and is now at 265.7 cases per 100,000 people. This rate is lower than the rate for the East of England region (387.30/100,000) and the rate for England as a whole (447.6/ 100,000). The case rate has increased this week despite sharply falling case numbers as those falling case numbers have not yet been brought into the case rate calculations, which are always calculated excluding the last 5 days’ cases to make the data more reliable.
  • In total, up to the 9 July 2021, which is the latest data currently available from ONS, there have been 1,582 deaths in Suffolk where COVID-19 was recorded on the death certificate. There has been 1 COVID-19 related death in the last 7 days up to 9 July.
  • The estimated ‘R’ value for the East of England is between 1.2 -1.5, which is slightly higher than the previous week. The estimated ‘R’ value for England has decreased very slightly this week (1.2-1.4). Any R value greater than 1 means the epidemic is increasing.

National Alert Levels

As of 19 July 2021, England is set to move to stage four of the road map out of lockdown. National Covid restrictions are set to be lifted, with an end to social distancing requirements, however face coverings will still be recommended in crowded indoor areas.

Weekly cases and rates

In the week to 27 July 2021 there were 1,623 new cases of COVID-19 in Suffolk. This number has increased compared to the previous week.

It is possible to calculate a case rate by dividing the number of cases by the number of people in a given population – this makes it possible to compare cases across different areas. The most recent underlying weekly case rate in Suffolk was 256.7 cases per 100,000 people. This case rate has increased compared to the previous week, as the sharp declines in case numbers in very recent days are not yet included in the case rate calculation. This rate is lower than the rate for the East of England region (387.3/100,000) and the rate for England as a whole (447.6/100,000).

In the last week of reported data up to 27 July there have been 230 cases in Babergh, 341 cases in Ipswich, 470 cases in East Suffolk, 216 cases in Mid Suffolk and 366 cases in West Suffolk. Case numbers have decreased in all areas this week except Mid Suffolk.

Total cases and rates

As of 27 July 2021 there have been 36,560 total cases of COVID-19 in Suffolk, with an overall rate of 4,802 cases per 100,000 population.  This is lower than the overall rate for the East of England (7,700/ 100,000) and for England as a whole (8,907/ 100,000).

Regional ‘R’ Number and growth rate

What is the R number? R represents the average number of onward infections that will be generated by a single infectious individual. R tells us if the epidemic is getting bigger (>1) or smaller (<1) but now how large the epidemic is overall, and therefore shouldn’t be used as the sole indicator of the threat posed by an epidemic at any single point in time. R cannot be measured directly, and there is always uncertainty about its exact value.

The current estimated regional 'R' numbers are below.

(Source: University of Cambridge MRC Biostatics Unit).

Regional R Value as at 26 July 2021

Region

R Value

Growth rate % per day

East of England

1.3 - 1.5

 5 to 8

London

1.2 - 1.4

 4 to 6

Midlands

1.2 - 1.4

 5 to 7

North East and Yorkshire

1.2 - 1.5

 4 to 7

North West

1.0 - 1.2

 1 to 3

South East

1.2 - 1.5

 5 to 8

South West

1.3 - 1.5

 6 to 8

England

1.2 - 1.4

 4 to 6


Death Registrations to 2 July 2021

There is currently a delay in the deaths reporting from the Office for National Statistics. For the last week for which data is available, In Suffolk, up to 9 July 2021, there have been 1,582 deaths which mention COVID-19 on the death certificate in total. There has been 1 COVID-19 death in the most recent week of data. In the last week, deaths due to causes other than COVID-19 have occurred at a higher level compared to the five-year average for Suffolk.

Contact Tracing

As of 15 March 2021 Suffolk’s Public Health Team has taken on responsibility for all contact tracing for new cases in Suffolk.  In Suffolk in the week up to 27 July, 87.5% of cases were successfully contact traced and during the pandemic as a whole 90.0% of cases have been successfully contact traced. These metrics are higher than the East of England (82.8% in the last week and 89.3% for the pandemic as a whole) and England averages (80.5% in the last week and 86.9% for the pandemic as a whole).

For contacts of cases, in the last 7 days to 27 July, 97.9% of contacts in Suffolk had been successfully contact traced, and during the pandemic as a whole 93.6% of contacts have been successfully contact traced. These numbers are similar to the East of England (97.4% in the last week and 92.8% for the pandemic as a whole) and England averages (97.1% in the last week and 89.1% for the pandemic as a whole).